摘要
明代中后期至19世纪,中国保持巨额贸易顺差达两个半世纪之久,这在世界贸易史上实属罕见。巨量白银流入有两个原因:贸易顺差和套汇。本文考察了这两个因素形成的机制。与晚明时期类似,当前我国也出现了持续的巨量贸易顺差,究其原因是政府对贸易的干预政策所致。本文认为,不能简单地评判贸易顺差的优劣,关键是贸易顺差与经济发展水平、经济结构等因素是否相适应。
From the late Ming dynasty to the 1800s,it was rare in the history of world trade that China maintained a huge trade surplus for two and a half centuries.Massive inflow of silver in the late Ming dynasty was based on two factors： the trade surplus and arbitrage.This article examined the mechanism of forming the factors.Similar to the period of the late Ming dynasty,China today also maintained massive trade surplus,which was caused by the interventions of China＇s government on foreign trade.We could not simply argue the significance of the trade surplus to China.The key is whether the level of trade surplus is compatible with economic development,economic structure and other factors in China.
出处
《经济理论与经济管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第6期85-93,共9页
Economic Theory and Business Management
关键词
国际竞争力
海上贸易
套汇
白银流入
international competitiveness
maritime trade
arbitrage
inflow of silver
