反向服务外包对我国生产率的影响——生产性服务业的实证分析

Impact of Reverse Service Outsourcing on Productivity in China:An Empirical Analysis on Producer Service Industries

本文在服务外包的背景下,在生产性服务业中定量分析了反向服务外包对我国生产率的影响。数据样本选择2004-2009年18个行业的面板数据,并利用2002年和2007年的投入产出表定量计算了我国生产性服务投入以及反向服务外包和当地服务外包的规模。本文的结论是:由于我国服务外包尚处于初级阶段且规模较低,因此反向服务外包对我国生产率产生了负向影响,同时本文也证明了反向服务外包对未来生产率的负向影响会逐渐减少,甚至可能为正;反向服务外包的变化对未来生产率变化的影响为正,因此扩大其规模有助于降低目前的负向影响。同时,本文也得到了行业层面的结论,这些结论有助于我国进一步发展服务外包。

Based on the context of service outsourcing,this paper quantitative-ly analyzes the impact of reverse service outsourcing to producer service indus-tries on productivity in China.Based on the panel data of 18 industries from 2004-2009,and input-output table in 2002 and 2007,the paper calculates the pro-ducer service inputs,reverse service outsourcing（RSOS） and local service out-sourcing（LSOS） across industries.Conclusions are that due to the low scale and the preliminary development of service outsourcing in China,there is a negative effect of RSOS on productivity;however,it also proves that there is a decreas-ing negative impact of RSOS on future productivity,and probably it could be positive;in addition,the change of RSOS exerted a positive impact on the change of productivity,therefore expanding the scale of RSOS could reduce the negative impact.Meanwhile,the paper also gets the conclusions on industry-lev-el,which could help the development of service outsourcing.