隐含碳视角下的湖北省工业结构调整评价体系

The Measurement System of Industrial Restructuring of Hubei Province from the Perspective of Embedded Carbon

着眼于如何科学促进工业结构升级,发展技术含量和附加值双高、社会效益与经济效益双优的"两型"工业部门,首次将产业安全和隐含碳纳入考量,分别从经济效益、社会效益、生态效益、技术密集度、产业安全、区域优势6个方面选取了13项指标。在对所选指标进行相应说明后,应用主成分分析法建立了湖北省工业结构调整评价体系。该评价体系对湖北省的24个工业部门进行了综合评分及排序,分析结果显示未来几年湖北省应该大力发展三类产业:一是经济效益好、社会关联度大,但存在一定污染问题的产业;二是增长速度快、技术含量与外向度较高的产业;三是就业能力强,区域优势明显的产业。同时,三类产业的发展策略各有侧重。文章最后依据各项指标对于湖北省几个重点工业部门发展给出了针对性的政策建议。

The essence of modern economic growth is structure-oriented growth. Under the background of two crises （the financial crisis and climate crisis） , it is significant to adjust industrial structure scientifically and rationally. Hubei province, on the way of heavy industrialization, is a traditional industrial base in our country. This paper aims to solve the problem of prompting the upgrading of industrial structure properly, and developing the environmental friendlily departments with high economic benefits. Firstly, taking the factors of industry security and embedded carbon into consideration, this paper chooses indexes from the perspectives of economies, society, ecology and technology, by applying principal component analysis method, to construct a measurement system. This system scores 24 industrial departments and sorts them. The analysis reveals that three kinds of industries should be fostered in Hubei in the next few years： one with prominent economic and social performance, but causing some pollution; one with rapid growth, high technology content and degree of openness; one with higher job creation power and obvious local advantages. Different developing strategies should be applied. In the end we suggest some corresponsive policies to the priority industries according to the indexes.