灰色理论模型在矿区滑坡变形预测中的应用

Application of gray model to landslide deformation forecast in mining areas

灰色理论模型具有利用"少数据"、"小样本"的优点,使得其在滑坡预测分析中显示出极大的优势。利用矿区滑坡监测数据建立起GM(1,1)模型,通过数据对比、验证和分析,证明了灰色理论模型能更好的反映观测目标的变形趋势。

Gray model possesses the advantage of making full use of ＂the little sample＂ and ＂the less data＂ to pre-dict,which shows great advantage in analyzing and predicting a landslide.The paper sets up the GM（1,1） model by drawing on data from monitoring the landslide in a mining area.This model,through comparing,verifying and analyzing the data,can illustrate that gray model can better reflect the deformation trend of the observed target to some degree.Then it shows that gray model has some advantage in predicting landslide deformation and can realize the previous expectation.