摘要
回顾了国内外学者对经济增长与对外贸易的关系所进行的研究,利用福建省1981—2007年国内生产总值、出口总额、进口总额的数据进行协整分析和Granger因果检验。实证分析的结果表明:①福建省国内生产总值、出口总额、进口总额之间存在长期稳定的关系。②福建省的经济增长、出口增长、进口增长之间不存在Granger因果关系。
The author reviews the study of relationship between China＇s economic growth and import and export trade by domestic and foreign scholars,then makes eointegration analysis and Granger causality test according to GDP, total exports, total imports data of Fujian Province in 1981-2007. The results of empirical analysis show that there exists long-term stable equilibrium relationship and no Granger causality between GDP,total exports, total imports data of Fujian Province.
出处
《科技和产业》
2011年第6期111-115,共5页
Science Technology and Industry
关键词
经济发展
进出口贸易
协整
因果关系
economic development
import and export trade
eointegration
causality
