摘要
近年来,随着经济的发展,全球清洁汽油的消费比例在逐渐提高,2009年全球约64%的汽油的硫含量限值小于50ppm。为缩小与发达国家的差距,适应油品清洁化的大趋势,发展中国家的汽油质量升级步伐正在加快。从长远来看,未来超低硫汽油的需求比例将不断增加,亚太地区硫含量小于10ppm的汽油将自2020年起大幅上升,所占比例将从2020年的61.7%增至2030年的81.7%。在汽油需求增幅最大的地区和国家,未来数年其炼厂将不断改造或新建装置以生产更多的清洁汽油,这将给利润不断降低的炼油行业带来很大冲击。
Along with economic growth in recent years, clean gasoline’s share of global consumption is increasing. In 2009 global consumption of gasoline with sulphur content not exceeding 50 ppm accounted for about 64% of total gasoline consumption. To catch up with developed countries and meet clean-fuel demand, more and more developing countries are rapidly upgrading gasoline quality. Ultra-low sulphur gasoline’s share of demand will gradually increase. In the Asia-Pacific region, the consumption share of gasoline with sulphur content not exceeding 10 ppmwill sharply increase from 61.7% in 2020 to 81.7% in 2030. Refineries will be upgraded and new refineries will be built to produce more clean gasoline in the regions and countries consuming a large volume of gasoline. So the refining industry is facing near-term challenges.
出处
《国际石油经济》
2011年第5期33-37,112,共5页
International Petroleum Economics