通信业对我国区域经济发展影响差异的实证研究——基于东、中、西部地区面板数据的协整模型分析

Empirical Research on Regional Difference in the Effection of Communication Industry on Economic Growth——Based on Panel Data of Eastern,Central and Western China by Cointegeration Models

运用面板单位根和面板协整方法,实证研究我国通信业与区域经济发展的关系。研究表明我国通信业发展和经济增长率之间存在变量协整关系;进一步的回归分析显示在东、中、西部通信业发展与经济发展均为显著正相关且存在差异,东部省份通信业对区域经济发展的促进作用最大,西部省份次之,而中部地区的促进作用最小。走与工业融合的道路是未来我国通信业发展的方向。

Using the panel root test and panel cointegeration, the paper examines the effection of communication industry development on economic growth. Evidences of co - integration are obtained to indicate the relationships between communication industry development and economic growth rate. The regression analysis shows that the communication industry de- velopment boosts economic growth. The effect of communication industry development in eastern is more tremendous than that in the other regions and that is weaker in central than western region. More effect brought by information in eastern de- pends on traditional industries transformation. To combine with industry for China communication industry is an inevitable choice in future.