福建省技术进步对经济增长的影响机制分析

Research on Mechanism about Technological Progress to Economic Growth in Fujian Province

根据中国经济增长的实际情况,把技术进步分解为内在技术进步和外在技术进步两个方面。利用计量模型从短期和长期两个角度来分析内在技术进步、外在技术进步与经济增长三者之间的关系。基于福建省1987年至2009年的数据,对这三个变量进行协整关系分析、格兰杰因果关系分析和在VAR模型基础上的脉冲响应函数分析以及方差分解分析。实证分析结果显示:不论从长期看还是从短期看,福建省内在技术进步对经济增长的拉动作用比福建省外在技术进步要大。

According to the actual situation about economic growth in China,technological progress is divided into two aspects which are both internal and external technological progress.From both the short and long-term perspective,relationships between internal technological progress,external technological progress and economic growth are analyzed by econometric model.Based datas from 1987 to 2009 in Fujian Province,these three variables are analyzed in these methods which are cointegration analysis,Granger causality analysis,impulse response function analysis and variance decomposition analysis based on VAR model.Empirical results show that ： from both the long term and short term,internal technological progress in Fujian Province has a large effect on economic growth and external technological progress has a small effect on economic growth.