美日、美韩军事同盟的同步强化及其影响

The Synchronous Strengthening of the U.S.-Japan Alliance and the U.S.-ROK Alliance and the Impact

冷战后,美日同盟与美韩同盟从冷战结束之初同时弱化,发展为世纪之交"一强一弱"(美日同盟强、美韩同盟弱),而经过韩国李明博政府和日本鸠山内阁时期强弱态势的短暂逆转,自2010年中开始,两同盟出现冷战后的首次同步强化态势。地区冲突爆发是两同盟同步强化的直接诱因,美日韩三国安全政策趋向统一是决定性动力,日韩两国的国内政治形势则是不可或缺的条件。两同盟同步强化,加剧了朝鲜半岛的战争危机、东北亚地区的战略紧张和军备竞赛危险。

The U.S.-Japan Alliance and the U.S.-ROK Alliance showed a trend of synchronous strengthening from the middle of 2010.The tension of the Korean Peninsula was the direct cause of the synchronous strengthening,while the synchronization of security policies of the U.S.,Japan and ROK was the decisive motive force.The motive domestic politics of Japan and the ROK were indispensible as well.The synchronous strengthening of the two alliances aggravated the Korean Peninsula crisis,the strategic tension in Northeast Asia,and the danger of arms race in this region.