稳增长和调结构双重目标下的我国产业投资战略导向研究

The Guidance of China's Industrial Investment Strategy under the Dual Objectives of Steady Growth and Restructuring

本文基于投入产出理论,从稳增长和调结构的视角,将产业投资决策表现为产业投资依赖度、产业投资效率两个状态指标,从而使产业投资决策成为一个具备完全时间内容和空间意义的系统决策。通过变结构控制动态投入产出模型识别各产业对投资的依赖度,通过DEA(数据包络分析)模型识别各产业当前的投资效率,并通过BCG(波士顿矩阵)模型综合分析产业的外部投资环境依赖度和内部投资效率,进一步判断在投资环境发生变化时如何采取合适的产业投资战略。

Based on the input - output theory , from the perspective ment, industrial investment decision-making can be analyzed with the efficiency. So the industry investment decisions can become space. Through of the goal of steady growth and structure adjust-investment dependency and industrial investment a system of decision - making with full content of time and the variable structure control dynamic input - output model, the industry＇s reliance on investment can be identified. Through the DEA model, the efficiency of the industry can be identified. Finally, the comprehensive analysis of industrial investment can be analyzed through the BCG model, and further appropriate investment strategy can be deter- mined while the industrial investment environment changes