小样本因果关系检测模型及其在宏观经济分析中的应用

A Novel Model on Causality Detection of Small Samples and Its Application in Macroeconomic Analysis

建立了专门适用于小样本随机变量因果关系检测的数学模型，并利用此模型研究了改革以来我国通货膨胀与经济增长的相关关系，所得结论对于我国如何制定与实施国民经济发展战略具有一定的理论指导作用．

This paper presents a new model on causality detection of small sampels. Using this model,the paper discusses the relationship between inflation and economic growth since China's reform.The results can be used as a theoretical basis for making the strategy of national economic development.