城乡居民消费结构与产业结构、经济增长关联研究——基于VAR模型的实证分析

Rural Residents,Industrial Structure and Economic Growth——Empirical Analysis Based on VAR Mode

运用VAR模型对城乡居民消费结构与产业结构、经济增长的关联性进行了实证分析。研究结果显示,城乡居民消费结构与产业结构、经济增长之间均存在长期均衡关系;经济增长能够促进城乡消费结构的升级,但对农村的促进作用要比城市滞后;城市居民消费结构升级对产业结构升级具有较弱的正向诱导效应,而农村居民消费结构则不具备这种效应。

Using the multivariable VAR model,this paper empirially investigates into the relationship between urban-rural consumption structure and industrial structure,economic growth.The research shows there are long-term equilibrium relationship between urban-rural consumption structure and industrial structure,economic growth.Economic growth can promote the upgrade of consumption structure of urban-rural areas,but effective on the rural is slower than urban.Consumption structure of urban residents has a weak positive inductive effect on the upgrade of industrial structure,while the consumption structure of rural residents don＇t have this effect.