中国经济增长方式转型的动力源泉及其因素分解——基于中国1952—2009年的实证分析

The Driving Factor and Its Decomposition of the Transformation of the Economic Growth Mode

进入21世纪,我国经济增长方式转型已经取得了实质性突破,全要素贡献率达到了年均57.58%。对全要素分解显示:基础设施改善、工业化、劳动力转移已成为支撑我国经济增长方式转型的主要因素,教育、对外开放和科技投入也是重要的推动力量,但贡献度不高,说明转型的基础仍不牢固。为此,我国应采取相应措施,保持经济转型的持续动力,巩固经济转型成果,提高经济增长的质量。

Stepping into 21st century, the economic growth mode transformation of China has made substantial progress. The TFP contribution rate has achieved 57.58% per year. The decomposition of TFP shows that the improvement in infrastructure, industrialization and labor transfer have become a main element of the economic growth mode transition .Education and opening-up and technological investment is also an important driving force, but is not high, this explains the foundation of transition contribution still not firm. Therefore, we should adopt for measures to keep the economic transformation of the continuous motivation, consolidate the achievements of economic transformation, and improve the quality and efficiency of economic growth.