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房价预期对租价比的作用机制:35个大中城市的实证研究 被引量:5

The Function Mechanism of Expected Housing Price to Rent Price Ratio:an Empirical Research Based on 35 Large and Medium Cities
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摘要 我国大中城市的房价与租金出现长期的背离,具体表现为租价比的不断变动。无论在短期和长期中,租价比的变动与利率正相关,与房价预期负相关。政府抑制房价过快上涨,应同时增加公租房的供给,避免出现居民房价预期逆转引致的房租大幅上涨。 According to the model of housing user cost, the change in rent price ratio will be closely related to interest rate and expected housing price, as well as housing policy. The authors test the changing trend and determinants of it. The result shows the ratio is nega- tively related to interest rate but positively related to expected housing price both in the short and long term. The supply of public rent should be increased in company with suppressing housing prices.
作者 许家军 葛扬
机构地区 南京大学商学院
出处 《经济经纬》 CSSCI 北大核心 2011年第4期51-55,共5页 Economic Survey
关键词 房价预期 租价比 持有成本 expected housing prices rent price ratio user cost
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