航空快件异常应急研究

Research for Emergency of Air Express Abnormal

在航空快件生命周期中,经常需要对异常情况进行应急处理。文中对引起航空快件异常的各种原因进行分析,利用区间数可能度的概念比较耗时区间大小,从而为最优路径决策和次优路径决策提供量化参考;同时,综合考虑目前多种运输方式,提出整合各种运输资源提供应急方案来规避应急风险。

In the express life cycle,some unpredicted situations often happen,which often require emergency treatment,According to analyse kinds of causes bringing disorder,this article concerns the order of time interval,using the concept of possibility degree help us decide which route should be considered prioritily.At the same time,consider the current varied transport resources and combine them then to provide emergency plan to circumvent emergency risk.