摘要
为充分考虑综合运输结构优化的过程中能源消耗的因素,在运用完全分解模型对影响综合运输能耗的因素进行因子贡献率分析、利用SPSS软件对GDP和运输周转量进行回归分析的基础上,采用情景分析法,通过设定不同的综合运输结构,构建了基于能源消耗的综合运输结构优化模型;以陕西省为研究对象对构建的模型进行了验证,验证了模型的可操作性和正确性,可为陕西省综合运输的发展方向提供借鉴。
In order to take full account of energy consumption in the process of optimization of the comprehensive transport structure,the contribution ratio of factors influencing the comprehensive transport＇s energy consumption is analyzed using complete decomposition model,and the research on the relationship between GDP and transport turnover is conducted in regression model by SPSS.On that basis,the different comprehensive transport structure is set using scenario analysis and the optimization model of comprehensive transport structure based on energy consumption is built.The model is verified with Shaanxi Province as the research object.The result verifies the model＇s operability and veracity and provides reference for the direction of Shaanxi Province＇s comprehensive transport.
出处
《长安大学学报（社会科学版）》
2011年第2期40-44,共5页
Journal of Chang'an University(Social Science Edition)
关键词
综合运输结构
能源消耗
情景分析
结构优化
comprehensive transport structure
energy consumption
scenario analysis
structural optimization
