科技投入与新疆经济增长的实证研究

Empirical Research on Relationship between Expenditure for Science & Technology and Economic Growth in Xinjiang

新经济增长理论认为技术进步是地区经济增长的一个重要源泉和重要推动力,科技投入是地区技术进步的物质保障和前进动力,是地区技术进步的主要标志。以1993～2008年的新疆科技活动经费内部支出额和GDP数据为基础,运用协整分析方法、Granger因果检验对新疆科技投入与经济增长之间的关系进行了实证分析。实证研究结果表明:新疆地方财政科技投入与经济增长之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系;同时,两者仅存在单向因果性。

The theory of new economic growth thinks that technological progress is the important source and impetus of re- gional economic growth, that expenditure for science ＆ technology is material guarantee in the progress of technology, which is the area of the main mark in technological progress. Based on Xinjiang expenditure for science ＆ technology and GDP in 1993 - 2008, the text analyses the relationship between expenditure for science ＆ technology and economic growth in Xinjiang using co - integration test and Granger causality test method. Empirical results show that there exists long - term and steady -going relationship between expenditure for science ＆ technology and economic growth in Xinjiang. There also exists only one- way causality.