安史之乱与王忠嗣遭贬黜关系考——兼谈偶然性在历史演进中的作用

Of the Relation between An Lu-shan's Rebellion and Wang Zhong-si's Demotion:About Contingency's Role

充分总结前人研究成果,根据恩格斯、汤因比等历史学家的观点,独辟蹊径,从王忠嗣遭贬黜事件这一偶然性因素改变唐廷兵制入手,对安史之乱爆发原因重新论证,再次认识。旨在说明偶然性在历史进程中的作用,历史的演进是必然性和偶然性共同作用的结果。

An Lu -shan＇ s Rebellion is an important topic in the study of Chinese Ancient History. For a long time, researchers have different opinions. In terms of this topic, tiffs article not only absorbs the earlier achievements made by the others, but also investigates the real reasons of An Lu -shan＇ s Rebellion by studying two contingencies ： Wang Zhong - si＇ s demotion and the military rearrangemeat of dynasty Tang from the perspectives chosen by such historians as Engels and Arnold. J. Toynbee. There is certainty and regularity in the evolution of history, but the contingencies have played a role in historical changes and that the evolution of history is the result made by the inevitable and the fortuitous together.