中国棉花或重演大豆危机的预警及对策

Early Warning Analysis and Suggestions on the Problem that Cotton Industry May Repeat the Performance of Soybean Crisis in China

2004年大豆危机的爆发,让我国大豆加工企业损失惨重,并导致我国大豆产业的步步沦陷;而从我国大幅上涨且震荡的棉价、棉花进口数量大幅增长以及我国缺少棉价主导权等方面来看,我国棉花危机的发生亦渐显端倪。文章故在剖析"棉花危机"初显的原因基础上,进一步展望了棉花危机深层爆发的可能后果,并提出了相应的对策建议。

The crisis of soybean broke out in 2004, which made the soybean processing enterprises of China lose seriously. Furthermore, the soybean industry of China was enemy-occupied step by step after that crisis.The cotton price of China has risen and shaken sharply recently, and foreign dependence degree of cotton is higher than before. Cotton industry of China is short of pricing power. So the crisis of cotton is upcoming in China. On the basis of causes analysis, the authors offer some suggestions.