基于产业与区域特征的中国产业集聚变动分析

Analysis of Change in Industrial Agglomeration from Industrial and Regional Characteristics

文章利用塞尔指数和动态分解方法对中国几十年产业集聚变动进行研究。结果表明,在产业地理集中程度总体上不断提高的同时,不同产业和区域表现出不同的特征。从区域特征来看,南部沿海的兴起最为显著,而作为"工业基地"的东北经济区地位下降。南部沿海的集聚速度最高,东部沿海次之,而东北部则呈现强烈的流动和分散趋向。从产业特征来看,高技术类产业以及自然资源类产业不仅集中程度高而且仍处于集聚加速的阶段;传统产业如纺织业和一些集中度低的行业则表现出分散化趋向。

This paper analyses some changes in industrial agglomeration by Theil index and dynamic decomposed approach during a few decade years. The result indicates degrees of geographic concentration as a whole are increasing, but they have significantly different in terms of industries and regions. Firstly, as viewed from region, it is remarkable phenomena that industries agglomerate in south region and disperse in east-north region called as industrial base. Secondly, as viewed from industry, Contrary to concentration degree of high-tech industries and natural resources are not only high but also accelerating, that of traditional industries such as textile and other industries exhibit strongly mobility.