安徽省科技投入与经济增长关系的计量分析

Anhui Science and Technology into The Relationship between Economic Growth and Quantitative Analysis

随着科学技术的快速发展,科技投入对经济增长的作用越来越明显。本文依据安徽省1992-2009年间科技投入与经济增长的有关数据变量,应用SPSS、Eviews等软件研究安徽省科技投入与经济增长两指标之间的互动关系,建立了反映两者长期协整关系的模型,并对两序列进行格兰杰因果检验。研究结果表明:安徽省科技投入与经济增长间存在长期稳定的均衡关系,且两者间存在单项因果关系。最后根据研究结果,提出一些建议。

With the rapid development of science and technology, science and technology are becoming more and more obvious into the role of eco nomic growth. This article based on the data of science and technology in investment and economic growth of Anhui Province in the year between 1990 and 2007,it used the SPSS and Eviews software to study the relationship between science and technology invesment and economic growth of Anhui Province ,and established a model to reflect the long-term cointegration relationship,and carried on the Granger causality test on the two se quences at the end. The results show that： Anhui province science and technology investment and economic growth between the equilibrium rcla tionship, long-term stability, and the existence of a single causal relationship. Finally, according to research findings,I offer some suggestions to the goverment.