解释中国经济奇迹的增长理论分析

Explaining the Analysis of Growth Theory about China's Economic Miracle

改革后中国的经济成就举世瞩目,但是解释这一问题却是个世界性的热点和难题。当前解释中国高速经济增长的主流理论大致可以概括成要素决定论和制度决定论,这些理论一定程度上给予了中国经济增长很好的解释,但是限于理论发展和分析框架,都有不尽如意的地方。正确解释中国经济增长的方向在于激励理论,"搞对激励"才是问题的关键,这是分析问题的原则。中国经济的主导者是政府,因此,理解中国经济增长的关键就是要理解政府激励和官员激励。

After the reform China＇s economic achievement attracts worldwide attention.However,it is a difficult phenomenon for worldwide scholars to explain it.The current mainstream theory in explaining China＇s high-speed economic growth includes the factor determinism and institution determinism approximately.These theories have given good explanation about the economic growth,but they are all unpleasantly limited to theory development and analysis structure.The correct direction that explains China＇s economic growth is incentive theory.The key issue is to do incentive.The leader of China＇s economy is government.Therefore,the key to understand China＇s economic growth is to understand government incentives and officials＇ incentives.