期刊文献+

高管过度自信及其测度:基于心理学依据的研究方法 被引量:1

下载PDF
导出
摘要 时至今日,公司层面上非理性行为偏差的研究正在日益备受关注,尤其是管理者过度自信心理偏差对公司决策的影响,然而,难以找到准确测度高管过度自信的代理变量是制约这一领域发展的主要障碍。因此,文章基于对大量心理学文献的梳理,分析了过度自信的心理学起源,深入挖掘了高管过度自信的心理学依据,最后以此为指引,不仅提出了更为恰当的高管过度自信实证测度方法及研究假说,还通过细化引发这一心理偏差的因素而提出了不同维度的测度方法,这对未来行为公司金融发展具有探索性的一个重要尝试。
作者 毛雅娟
出处 《现代管理科学》 CSSCI 2011年第7期91-93,共3页 Modern Management Science
基金 国家自然科学基金项目(项目号7:0972074) 教育部人文社会科学研究基金(青年)项目(项目号:09YJC630089) 教育部人文社会科学研究基金项目(项目号:09YJA630155) 广州市哲学社会科学发展"十一五"规划2010年度课题(项目号:10Q26) 华南农业大学校长基金(项目号:2009S007)资助
  • 相关文献

参考文献10

  • 1ROLL R.The Hubris Hypothesis of Corporate Takeovers.Journal of Business,1986,(59):197-216.
  • 2FISCHHOFF B,SLOVIC P,LICHTENSTEIN S.Knowing with Certainty:the Appropriateness of Extreme Confidence.Journal of Experimental Psychology,1977,(3):552-564.
  • 3BRENNER L,KOEHLER D,LIBERMAN V,TVERSKY A.Overconfidence in Probability and Frequency Judgments:A Critical Examination.Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes,1996,(65):212-219.
  • 4TAYLOR S,BROWN J.Illusion and Well-being:A Social Psychological Perspective on Mental Health.Psychological Bulletin,1988,(103):193-210.
  • 5RUSSO J,SCHOEMAKER P.Managing Overconfidence.Sloan Management Review,1992,(33):7-17.
  • 6WEINSTEIN.N.Unrealistic Optimism about Future Life Events.Journal of Personality and Social Psychology,1980,(39):806-820.
  • 7MCKENNA F.It Won't Happen to Me:Unrealistic Optimism or Illusion of Control?.British Journal of Psychology,1993,(84):39-50.
  • 8WEINSTEIN N,KLEIN W.Resistance of Personal Risk Perceptions to Debiasing Interventions.In:Gilovich T et al.(Ed.),Heuristics and Biases:the Psychology of Intuitive Judgment,England:Cambridge University Press,2002.
  • 9GERVAIS S,ODEAN T.Learning to Be Overconfident.The Review of Financial Studies,2001,(14):1-27.
  • 10BARON R.Psychological Perspectives on Entrepreneurship:Cognitive and Social Factors in Entrepreneurs' Success.Current Directions in Psychological Science,2000,(9):15-18.

同被引文献17

  • 1Moore D A, Healy P J. The trouble with overconfidence [J]. Psychological Review, 2008,115 (2) : 502-517.
  • 2Simon Gervais, Heaton J B, Terrance Odean. Overconfidence, compensation contracts, and capital budgeting [J]. The Journal of Finance, 2011, 16(5) : 1735-1777.
  • 3Johnson D P, James H Fowler. The evolution of overconfi-dence[J]. Nature, 2011,477(9) :317-320.
  • 4Bostian A J A, Holt C A, Smith A M. Newsvendor "pull-to- center" effect: adaptive learning in a laboratory experiment [J]. Manufacturing & Service Operations, 2008, 10 (4) : 590-608.
  • 5Bolton G E, Katok E. Learning-by-doing in the newsvendor problem: a laboratory investigation of the role of experience and feedback [ J ]. Manufacturing & Service Operations, 2008, 10(3) :519-538.
  • 6Benzion U, Cohen Y, Peled R, et al. Decision-making and the newsvendor problem : an experimental study [J]. The Journal of the Operational Research Society, 2008, 59: 884-896.
  • 7Olivares, Terwiesch M C, Cassorla L. Structural estimation of the newsvendor model : an application to reserving operat-ing room time [ J ]. Management Science, 2008, 54 ( 1 ) : 41-55.
  • 8Carter C R, Kaufmann L, Michel A. Behavioral supply management: a taxonomy of judgment and decision-making biases[J]. International Journal of Physical Distribution & Logistics Management, 2007, 37 (8) : 632-669.
  • 9Schweitzer M E, Cachon G P. Decision bias in the news-vendor problem with a known demand distribution: experimental evidence [ J ]. Management Science, 2000, 46 (3) : 404-420.
  • 10David C Croson, Rachel Croson, Ren Ru-fei. How to manage an overconfident newsvendor [ EB/OL ]. (2008- 07- 23). http: //cbees. utdallas, edu/papers/CrosonRenCmsonMS2008, pdf.

引证文献1

二级引证文献9

相关作者

内容加载中请稍等...

相关机构

内容加载中请稍等...

相关主题

内容加载中请稍等...

浏览历史

内容加载中请稍等...
;
使用帮助 返回顶部