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Stochastic Volatility Model and Technical Analysis of Stock Price 被引量:2

Stochastic Volatility Model and Technical Analysis of Stock Price
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摘要 In the stock market, some popular technical analysis indicators (e.g. Bollinger Bands, RSI, ROC, ...) are widely used by traders. They use the daily (hourly, weekly, ...) stock prices as samples of certain statistics and use the observed relative frequency to show the validity of those well-known indicators. However, those samples are not independent, so the classical sample survey theory does not apply. In earlier research, we discussed the law of large numbers related to those observations when one assumes Black-Scholes' stock price model. In this paper, we extend the above results to the more popular stochastic volatility model. In the stock market, some popular technical analysis indicators (e.g. Bollinger Bands, RSI, ROC, ...) are widely used by traders. They use the daily (hourly, weekly, ...) stock prices as samples of certain statistics and use the observed relative frequency to show the validity of those well-known indicators. However, those samples are not independent, so the classical sample survey theory does not apply. In earlier research, we discussed the law of large numbers related to those observations when one assumes Black-Scholes' stock price model. In this paper, we extend the above results to the more popular stochastic volatility model.
出处 《Acta Mathematica Sinica,English Series》 SCIE CSCD 2011年第7期1283-1296,共14页 数学学报(英文版)
基金 Partially supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 10971068), National Basic Research Program of China (973 Program) (Grant No. 2007CB814904) and Key Subject Construction Project of Shanghai Education Commission (Grant No. J51601)
关键词 Stochastic volatility model asymptotic stationary process law of large numbers convergence rate technical analysis indicators Stochastic volatility model, asymptotic stationary process, law of large numbers, convergence rate, technical analysis indicators
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