我国卫生总费用与GDP关系的研究——基于回归与ARMA模型的实证分析

Research on the Relation Between National Total Expenditure on Health and GDP——Analysis Based on Regression and ARMA Model

针对当前我国卫生总费用与GDP关系实证研究不多的情况,运用单位根检验、格兰杰因果关系检验以及回归与ARMA模型等计量经济学的方法,确定了卫生总费用与GDP之间的因果关系。卫生总费用是GDP增长的格兰杰原因,并且证明卫生总费用对GDP增长的影响力较强,为了促进GDP持续增加,还应加大卫生总费用的投入。

This paper applied the methods of econometrics,such as unit root test,Granger casualty test,and re-gression and ARMA model.The result showed that the total expenditure on health（TEH）,which was the Granger cause of GDP increase,had a powerful influence on it.To keep GDP increasing,the input of TEH should be added.