新中亚大角逐及中国的应对策略

New Competition in Central Asia and China's Countermeasures

20世纪90年代以来,美国、俄罗斯和中国出于反恐、争夺资源及发展地缘政治利益等目的,在中亚展开了一场新的大角逐,对中亚地区产生了重要影响。作为此次中亚角逐的一个重要参与者,中国追求的是最大限度地维护和发展在中亚的利益,保障中国新疆等西部边疆地区的平稳发展。从目前的发展情况看,中国的中亚战略是具有竞争力的,并已取得了较大成就。但这场角逐仍在进行当中,形势尚不明朗,从长期来看,参与角逐的任何一方都很难成为绝对的赢家。如果中国继续保持较快和平稳的发展,并在新疆发展战略尤其是喀什经济特区的发展建设上取得成功,就具有了其他势力所不具备的优势,进而会带动和促进中国与中亚共同发展的双赢模式的形成。

Since the 1990s,due to the cooperation for anti-terrorism,competition for resources and regional political interests,USA,Russia and China have competed with one another in Central Asia and exerted their own influence there.China has aimed to protect and obtain its best possible interests here and to maintain the stability of Xinjiang.Though China＇s strategies have resulted in some achievements,it is difficult to predict who will become the final winner.If China continues its stable and relatively fast development and obtains much success in the construction of Keshi Economic Zone,it will have more advantages and lead to a win-win model for China and Central Asia.