菲利普斯曲线在中国宏观经济中的适用性研究

根据传统菲利普斯曲线理论,通过研究1999年～2009年中国的宏观经济数据,从失业——工资关系、失业——通货膨胀关系、失业——国内生产总值关系这三个方面研究菲利普斯曲线在中国的适用性。研究表明,传统菲利普斯曲线仅在经济危机的特定时期适用于中国,并据此提出了解决国内经济危机的对策:通过财政和货币政策引导资金流向制造业;通过拉动内需来刺激投资、提高就业率;通过中央银行的定向增发票据回收流动性。

According to traditional Philips Curve theory,by the study on macro economic data from 1999～2009,the article has studied the applicability of Phil ips Curve in China from the following three aspects： relationship between unempl oyment and salary,relationship between unemployment and inflation,and relation ship between unemployment and GDP.The results have showed that the traditional Phillips Curve can only be applied in particular period of the economic crisis i n China,and thus put forward some solutions to the domestic economic crisis.Fo r instance,the capital is directed to flow into manufacture sector through fisc al and monetary policies,the investment is stimulated through pulling up intern al demands and increasing employment rate,and liquidity is withdrew through the directional additionally-issued bills of the central bank.