基于灰色系统理论的河南未来人口发展预测研究

He'nan Population Development Forecast Based on Grey Prediction Model

以河南人口发展数为研究对象,根据相关统计资料应用年末总人口数值建立灰色动态预测模型,对未来10年河南省人口数值进行预测研究。结果表明,河南人口2010年底将超过1亿,2015年为1.03亿,到2020年将达到1.05亿,年均增加51.6万人,最后给出了一些相关建议。

Based on total value of He＇nan population pre year＇s end,this paper outlines the development of He＇nan population over the next 10 years according to Grey Prediction Model.The predictions indicate that the population of He＇nan will reach more than 100 million at the end of 2010,follow by a constant increase from 103 million in 2015 to 105 million in 2020,the average annual increment is 0.516 million.