城市轨道交通线路客流分布的实时预测方法

Real-time Forecast of Passenger Flow Distribution on Urban Rail Transit Line

为准确计算轨道交通线路客流实时分布的各项参数,首先提出了各时段进站乘客的起讫点(OD)分布预测方法,然后在分析了站台与列车之间客流交换规律的基础上提出了站台—列车客流交互模型.最后,提出了轨道交通线路客流分布的实时算法,并通过实例验证了该算法的实用性.

To calculate all parameters of passenger flow distribution on urban rail transit（URT）,the paper fiirst presents a method to predict the origin-destination（OD） distribution.Then,based on an analysis of the law of passengers＇ flow between platform and train,platform-train passenger exchanging model is established.Finally,the real-time algorithm to predict passenger flow distribution on urban rail transit line is obtained,the algorithm is validated with a case study.