湖北农村金融发展与农业增长关系的实证研究

Empirical Study on Relationship between Rural Financial Development and Agricultural Growth in Hubei Province

利用1990-2008年间湖北省的数据,对湖北农村金融发展与农业增长的关系进行的回归分析。结果表明:农村金融发展与农业增长之间存在正相关关系,农村金融发展是农业增长的格兰杰原因。对1990-2008年间全国与湖北省数据的进一步分析表明:湖北的农村金融相关比率远低于全国水平,湖北省农村金融发展存在金融抑制,未能对农村经济增长做出应有贡献。提出了建立多元化的农村金融服务体系、强化农村金融市场的竞争机制等政策建议。

Based on the data from Hubei province from 1990 to 2008,this paper analyzes the relationship between rural financial development and agricultural growth in Hubei province.The result shows that there is a positive correlation between the rural financial development and agricultural growth in Hubei province,and the rural financial development is the Granger cause of agricultural growth.The data from Hubei and the whole country between1990 and 2008 further shows that the financial interrelation ratio in rural Hubei is far below the national level,which implies that the financial repression phenomena exist and thus financial development fails to make due contributions to the rural economic growth in Hubei province.Therefore,this paper puts forward some policy suggestions on how to build diversified rural financial service system and strengthen competitive mechanism in rural financial market from the perspective of deepening rural finance.