我国原煤产量的灰色预测研究

Prediction Research on China's Coal Production Based on Grey Theory

煤炭资源不可再生,是保障国民经济发展的基石,故煤炭产量预测意义重大。利用灰色系统理论对我国原煤产量进行预测,构建预测模型,根据预测2012年我国煤炭产量达42亿吨,2015年达60亿吨。并对预测过程软件实现,采用MATLAB建立小型预测系统。

Coal resource is non-renewable,and it is the foundation of national economy,therefore coal production forecast is significant.With gray system theory,China＇s coal production is to be predicted,to build prediction models.According to China＇s coal forecast output,in 2012 the yield is 4.2 billion tons,up to 6 billion tons in 2015.At last,process of prediction is complied with MATLAB,and a small prediction system is founded.