1999年国内油品市场形势分析

Analysis of China's Oil Product Market in 1999

今年上半年国内成品油生产量和消费量稳中趋升。汽油价格呈先降后升又下滑的走势。柴油价格则一路下跌,总的来看,与去年同期相比,汽、柴油批发价格波动较大,零售价格相对比较稳定。上半年我国成品油进口量增长14.03％,燃料油和航空煤油成为成品油进口的新热点;成品油出口量增幅为8.36％,汽油成为成品油出口的新增长点。预计下半年国内市场成品油供需将基本趋于平衡,价格走势大体平稳。由于出口量扩大,汽油受资源趋紧的影响,价格将稳中趋升。伴随着休渔期的结束以及秋季用油季节的来临,柴油需求将会出现回升,价格亦会保持相对的稳定。

In the first half of 1999, China's domestic oil product production and consumption were more or less stable. Gasoline prices dropped initially before reviving and finally sinking again, while diesel prices fell. Wholesale prices for gasoline fell compared with the same period last year, while prices for diesel rose;retail prices for both were relatively stable. In the first half of the year, oil product imports increased by 14.03%, with fuel oil and jet kerosene imports rising most, while oil product exports rose by 8.36%, mainly exports of gasoline. It is forecast that oil product supply and demand will be roughly in balance in the second half of the year, suggesting stable prices. However, gasoline prices will rise slightly because of increased exports and limited sources. As the autumn oil-consumption season approaches, diesel demand will rebound and prices will resume an upward trend.