基于TRIZ理论的工业煤粉锅炉专利产品技术成熟度组合预测

Combined forecasting of patented product technology maturity about industrial coal powder boiler based on TRIZ theory

因性能指标和获利能力指标很难获得,而引入弥补缺陷的专利数量及弥补成本的专利数量来分别替代性能和收益率这两个指标,结合弥补缺陷的专利在同期专利中的大致比例的特征,对专利产品的技术成熟度进行组合预测。以对节能减排效果较为显著的工业煤粉锅炉的相关专利产品为例进行综合分析,得出该系列产品的专利处在生命周期的成长期阶段。

Because it was difficult to acquire performance index and profitability index,instead redeeming reparative quantity and redeeming cost quantity were introduced.It was examined that redeeming reparative was ratio of all the patents in the same term,and then product technology maturity was combined forecasting.Related to patented product of industrial coal powder boiler,for example,it is remarkable of energy saving and emission reduction.The result shows that the series of products is growth stage in the life cycle of patent.