成渝客运市场博弈分析

Analysis of Game of Chengdu-Chongqing Passengers' Transportation Market

运用博弈模型对成渝容运市场竞争状况进行了实证分析。采用斯塔伯格竞争模型研究结论认为，在高速公路进入前，成渝客运市场已达到纳什均衡。价格博弈模型表明，铁路与高速公路竞争中，避免价格战是双方最优主导战略。旅客间的ＰＵＶ博弈结果证明，成渝客运市场中旅客在不同运输方式中的分布是对其总效用博弈的结果。

Positive analysis of competitions on the Chengdu-Chongqing passengers' market isconducted using game model. The research with Stacketbers model shows that the Chengdu-Chongqingpassengers' transportation market reaches Nash equilibrium before the express highway enters it. Pricegame model indicates that avoidance of fierce competition by price deduction is the best strategy for bothparties. Results of PUV games betWeen passengers reveal that passengers distribution in different means oftransportation is the outcome of the game on their overall effects.