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当前乌克兰经济形势及影响因素分析--兼论中乌经贸合作 被引量:4

Analysis of present economic situation in Ukraine and its impact and concurrently on China-Ukraine economic and trade cooperation
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摘要 1999年以来,乌克兰经济总体保持高速增长。全球金融危机对乌克兰实体经济部门产生严重影响,导致乌克兰经济急剧下滑。目前乌克兰经济金融等指标逐步趋近金融危机前的水平。由于对外部资源的依赖性高、实体经济现代化程度低和先进技术引进不足、经济结构优化困难大等因素影响,目前乌克兰实体经济的发展依旧不乐观。综合各方面的因素,我们发现乌克兰未来经济发展潜力巨大,主要表现为:乌克兰国内有相对较大的不饱和市场,工业现代化在新技术条件下具备很大的发展潜力,农业具备较大发展潜力。2011~2012年,乌克兰经济的完全复苏很有可能实现,当前形势下重视乌克兰研究对中乌经贸合作有重大意义。 The Ukrainian economy has maintained a speedy grow since 1999. But the global financial crisis gravely affected its economic entities and sectors so that the economy declined drastically. At present, the economic and financial indexes have gradually resumed to the pre-financial crisis level. Due to high dependence on foreign resources, low level of entity economic modernization as well as lack of imported advanced technologies and difficulties in optimizing economic structure, entity economic development still looks bleak. Making a comprehensive study on all factors, we discover that Ukraine has a huge economic development potential, mainly manifested in its relatively large internal market demand, a large potential development for industrial modernization under new technical conditions and large agricultural development potential. It is entirely possible for Ukrainian economy to resuscitate within 2011-2012. It is of great importance for us to study Ukraine under the present situation in promoting China-Ukraine economic and trade relations.
作者 米军 黄轩雯
出处 《俄罗斯东欧中亚研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2011年第4期50-56,96,共7页 Russian,East European & Central Asian Studies
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