基于云模型和灰关联度法的巨项目组织联盟合作伙伴评价研究

Evaluation on cooperative partners in organization coalition for mega projects based on cloud model and gray correlation analysis

巨项目组织联盟建立的关键环节在于科学合理地选择战略合作伙伴,潜在合作伙伴快速准确的评价是选择合作伙伴及构建组织联盟的重要依据。基于巨项目组织联盟合作伙伴评价的模糊性和随机性特征,在构建评价指标体系的基础上,运用云模型及云的不确定性推理,将潜在合作伙伴指标因子的定性评价量化为分值,以实现定性概念与其定量表示之间的有效转换;进而运用灰色关联度理论,提出基于云模型和灰色关联度法的巨项目组织联盟合作伙伴评价方法。通过实例分析,表明该方法具有较强的可行性和有效性。

The key part of establishing organization coalition for mega projects is to rationally select strategic partners,and evaluation of potential partners quickly and accurately forms an important basis to select partners and to establish organization coalition. According to the fuzzy and random features in the evaluation of cooperative partners for organization coalition, this paper employs a cloud model and the uncertain inference, translates the qualitative appraisal of potential partner＇ s factors into quantitative scores to achieve the effective transition from a linguistic term of a qualitative concept to its numerical representation. Furthermore, the method of evaluating cooperative partners for organization coalition of mega projects based on cloud model and gray correlation analysis is proposed by using gray relationship theory. Through example analysis, it shows that the method has relatively strong feasibility and effectiveness.