体育赛场踩踏事故风险评估体系研究

Crowded Sports Stadium Stampede Accident Risk Assessment System

探讨影响体育赛场群体性踩踏事故的主要因素,构建体育赛场群体性踩踏事故风险评估体系.通过对2009年CBA全明星赛开幕式的评估实例发现:2009年CBA全明星赛开幕式群体性踩踏事故的风险评估为较好(较安全),评估的结果与实际安全状况基本吻合,得到了实际的验证.因此,运用模糊综合评估方法对体育赛场群体性踩踏事故风险进行评估是可行的.

To investigate the impact of sports stadium crowded group riding a major factor in the acci- dent, to build the sports arena crowded group riding accident risk assessment system. Methods： The use of logical reasoning method, Delphi method, AHP, comprehensive analysis and empirical analysis of the crowded sports arena group riding accident risk analysis and research. Conclusion： The Construction of the four-level indicators and 29 indicators for two groups of crowded sports arena riding accident risk assessment index system of high and the effectiveness of the scientific. CUBA By Southwest Conference in 2009 an as- sessment of the final examples found： CUBA Southwest Division in 2009 the final group riding accident crowded for better risk assessment（Safer）. Assessment results and the actual security situation in the basic agreement, to be the real test. Therefore, the use of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method of crowded sports arena riding groups to assess the risk of accidents is feasible.