摘要
Based on the method of linear trending,analysis was made upon the daily temperature statistics of Meitan County from 1951 to 2009,and the results showed that the temperature in general was on the rise.With 1980 as the turning point,it was on the decline before while later the temperature increased quickly.Among these figures,the variation rates of annual average temperature,annual maximum temperature,and annual minimum temperature are 0.11 ℃/10 a,0.08 ℃/10 a,and 0.36 ℃/10 a.The variation rates of average temperature in spring,summer,fall and winter are respectively 0.12 ℃/10 a,0.07 ℃/10 a,0.12 ℃/10 a,and 0.13 ℃/10 a.Morlet wavelet was adopted to analyze the periodicity of temperature change which has periods of different scales.But since 2000,during different time scales most of the areas have been in the period of temperature rises.Besides,certain rule exists in the periodicity of maximum temperature and minimum temperature.Before 1970s,they had opposite changing rules,and the alteration of the peak value occurred.However,in the late 1980s,they had similar changing rules,and their peak values appeared at the same time.It means that against the background of global warming,the reaction of temperature evolution in Meitan County is quite remarkable.
利用线性趋势法对湄潭县1951 ~2009年逐日气温资料进行分析。结果表明,湄潭县气温总体呈上升趋势,以1980年为转折点,之前呈下降趋势,其后气温增加趋势加快。其中,年平均气温、年极端最高气温、年极端最低气温的气候倾向率分别为0.11、0.08和0·36℃/10 a;春、夏、秋、冬平均温度的气候倾向率分别为0.12、0.07、0.12、0.13℃/10 a。采用Morlet小波函数分析气温变化周期性,其存在不同尺度的周期,但自2000年以后不同时间尺度上大部分处在增温时期;且极端最高气温和最低气温的周期性具有一定规律:20世纪70年代之前,两者具有相反的变化规律,其极值交互发生;而20世纪80年代后期,两者具有相似的变化规律,其极值同时发生。在全球变暖背景下,湄潭县气温演变对全球变暖响应明显。
基金
Supported by National Basic Research Program of China (973 Pro-gram) (2010CB951102 )
Program of Innovation ResearchGroup (51021006),National Natural Science Foundation of China~~