柘溪水电站入库洪水实时预报模型研究

Researching of Flood Real--time Forecasting Model for Zhexi Reservoir

从柘溪水库流域的实际出发，提出了区间流域洪水实时预报耦合模型以及实时跟踪模型动态参数算法，并进行洪水实时预报，取得了令人较为满意的预报效果。

This paper proposes the real-time updating and coupled model for the interbasin flood forecasting of the Zhexi reservoir and its algorithm for self--adapting estimation of the model's time-varying parameters.Using the model and algorithm to simulate the flood process,satisfactory results have been obtained.