偶然因果关系的实证分析

Positive Analysis of Accidental Causality

偶然因果关系理论学说能否满足实践需要,能否有效地指导司法实践处理具体的案例,特别是疑难案件?本文通过判例研究的方法,对司法实务处理偶然因果关系的判例进行研究,并对司法人员的思维过程和案件的论证说理进行实证分析,发现该学说的认定标准抽象、模糊、不规范,认定的主观性和任意性较强,从而削弱判例的说理性。从司法实践规范的立场看,采用相当因果关系说可以较好地解决因果关系的判断标准问题。

Whether the accidental causality theory can meet the demand of practice, or effectively guide the judicial practice to deal with specific cases, especially when dealing with complex cases？ Through case study method, this thesis studies judicial precedents dealing with accidental causality, and analyses the thinking process of judiciary and the reasoning of the case. The author found that the standard of accidental causality theory is abstract, vague, unregulated, subjectively and randomly identified. Thus, it weakens the reasoning of precedents. From the standpoint of judicial norms of practice, the correspondence of casual theory can resolve problem of causal judgmental standard.