节能目标完成情况的动态监测方法研究

Dynamic monitoring method research on the energy saving target completion situation

在讨论现行节能指标统计监测方法局限性的基础上,通过对月度公布的统计指标与单位地区生产总值能耗指标之间关系的研究,分析建立回归模型对单位地区生产总值能耗指标进行月度动态监测的方法,同时讨论结合各地产业结构差异和经济波动情况对模型进行修正的方法。实际监测表明,通过月度统计指标对单位地区生产总值能耗进行预测监测是可行的,对节能工作具有重要的现实意义。

On the basis of discussing the limitations of current energy-saving statistical monitoring method,This paper analyzes the method of how to monitor unit in GDP energy consumption dynamically every month through establishing the regression model,and discusses how to combine all region′s industrial structure difference and economic fluctuations to modify this model,The actual monitoring result shows that it is feasible to forecast unit in GDP through monthly statistics indicators,and it has the important practical significance on the energy conservation work.