俄罗斯产业结构与经济增长的互动关系研究

Study on Interactive Relationship between Industrial Structure and Economic Growth in Russia

产业结构与经济增长的互动关系是经济学界长期关注的问题。运用钱纳里的产业结构演进模型可以对俄罗斯的产业结构变动进行刻画,并对俄罗斯第三产业先于第二产业达到拐点给予解释;而运用产业分解模型则可以考察产业结构对俄罗斯经济增长的影响。在综合两方面的实证分析基础上,可以总结出俄罗斯产业结构面临的问题,并得出必要的启示。

It is a long-term concern for the economics on the interactive relationship between industrial structure and economic growth. The industrial structure changes of Russia can be described by Chenery＇s evolution model of industrial structure, which also serves as an explanation to the fact that tertiary industry domes to the inflexion earlier than secondary industry does in Russia. Meanwhile the industrial decomposition model can be applied to examine the impact of industrial structure to Russian economic growth. Based on the integrated empirical analyses of the two approaches, the conclusion can be drawn on the problems facing Russian industrial structure, and necessary enlightenment can be attained as well.