粮食生产波动短期监测预警系统初探

Monitoring and warning system of grain production

以陕西省为例，对粮食生产短期监测预警系统的建立进行了初步探讨。在筛选粮食生产预警指标体系和构建粮食生产短期波动监测的模拟状态空间预警模型的基础上，对模型的可靠性进行了实例检验，结果表明系统反映符合实际。

By considering the actual condition of Shaanxi Provincial grain production,a complete monitoring and advanced warning system for grain production is established in this paper.Positive analysis of Shaanxi Province food production in 1998 is done by using the system.The complete method for establishing the monitoring and advanced warning system is given and the systems effective function in grain macro economic adjustment and control is described also in this paper.