基于Markov模型的机群完好率研究

Study on the Readiness Rate of Air Fleet Based on Markov Model

通过建立非线性模型对机群的完好率进行研究。针对完好飞机,重点研究飞行批次对完好率的影响;对于故障飞机,重点研究中修级维修和串件维修对修复率的影响,进而得出在基层级维修能力下机群满足总体完好率要求的持续时间。

This paper researched on the readiness of air fleet through setting up non-linear model of Markov.To the mission capable aircrafts,emphasized on the effect of sortie generation to the readiness rate;as to the not mission capable aircrafts,emphasized on the effect of I-level maintenance and cannibalization to the repair rate.Then calculated out the duration time when the readiness rate met the base line of requirement based on the maintenance ability of O-level maintenance.