农民工定居转移的影响因素

Influencing Factors of Settlement Change of Peasant Workers

在对农民工迁居城市的影响因素和农民工放弃永久性迁居城市的解释进行综述,把定居方式选择(migration)作为因变量,把性别(sex)、年龄(age)、相对月总收入(income)、教育程度(edu)、工作经验(exp)、社会关系(relation)、社会保险(security)设定为自变量,采用2009中国农业大学国家大学生创新性实验计划调查所得的数据,利用Logistic二元选择模型构建相关的计量经济模型测算各影响因素对定居方式选择的影响程度。结果表明,教育水平、个人能力、社会关系与社会保障是决定农民工举家永久迁居城市的主要影响因素,人力资本与社会保障对于提高农民工收入、改善其生活质量具有重要意义。

Based on the analysis of the factors affecting the settlement change of peasant workers and the explanation of becoming permanent urban residents,this research takes migration mode（migration） as the dependent variable,sex（sex）,age（age）,monthly income（income）,education degree（edu）,working experiences（exp）,social relation（relation）,and social security（security） as the independent variables.According to the investigation of China Agricultural University in the year 2009,Logistic Binary Choice Model is used to construct the corresponding econometric model and to measure the effects of influencing factors on the selection of migration mode.Result shows that education degree,personal ability,social relation,and social security are the major influencing factors determining the peasant households becoming permanent urban residents;and human capital and social security construction are of great significance to the improvement of farmers＇ income and life quality.