陕西省经济发展与环境污染的计量模型研究

Modeling on Economic Development and Environmental Pollution of Shaanxi Province

根据陕西省1989～2008年统计年鉴中相关经济和环境数据,建立了人均GDP与典型环境指标工业三废、工业二氧化硫以及烟尘排放量的计量模型,并对其变化原因进行了分析.结果表明,陕西省经济发展与环境污染的计量模型中,并未出现典型的"倒U"型曲线模型,而是各有其特点,烟尘排放量与工业废气排放量都没有出现转折趋势,工业固废排放量几乎呈现直线式上升,工业废水和工业二氧化硫的污染已经有所好转,但趋势还不太稳定,文章最后提出了一些建议.

According to the Statistical Yearbook of Shaanxi Province in the 1989～2008 economic and environmental data,established average per person GDP and the typical environmental index industry three wastes,the industry sulphur dioxide as well as the mist and dust withdrawal measurement model,and has carried on the analysis to its reason for change.The result indicated that the Shanxi Province economic development and in environmental pollution＇s measurement model,has not presented the model ＂but actually U＂ the curve model,but respectively has its characteristic,the mist and dust withdrawal and the industiral waste gas withdrawal has not had the transition tendency,the industry waste withdrawal presents the orthoscopic rise nearly firmly,the industrial waste and the industry sulphur dioxide pollution already had the change for the better,but the tendency is not too also stable,the article put forward some proposals finally.