2011-2015年西安市经济适用房需求量的预测研究

Economic Housing Demand Prediction Research in Xi'an During the Year of 2011 to 2015

经济适用房是我国住房保障体系的重要组成部分,而经济适用房供不应求的现象成为现今住房体系的一重大问题。运用灰色理论原理,构建了西安市的经济适用房住房需求量的模型,给出了2011年至2015年未来五年西安市的经济适用房住房需求量预测结果,通过分析表明模型能够较好的预测经济适用房需求量的发展趋势,具有较强的实用性。

The economic housing is the important component of China＇s housing guarantee system.But the seriously shortage of the economic housing has became a major problem of housing system.Application of the grey theory and built the economy housing demand GM（1,1） multiple data model to forecast the economic housing＇s quantity demand of Xi＇an during the year of 2011 to 2015.The conclusion shows the model is to a great extent reliable and accurate and is suitable for forecasting the demand of economic housing.The results will be reliable and practical.