金融危机后中国对外直接投资的海外利益研究

CHINA'S OVERSEAS INTERESTS IN ITS OUTWARD FDI IN POST-CRISIS ERA

2000年以来,特别是金融危机以来,我国对境外的直接投资迅速增长,已成为中国海外利益的重要组成部分。本文对2008-2009年间我国对外直接投资和所包含的海外利益进行了分析,并依据对商务部《对外投资合作国别(地区)指南(2009版)》系列报告的文本解读,对中国非金融类对外直接投资的国家利益进行了分析。分析表明:(1)我国对外直接投资增长较快,但目前对国家利益贡献较少,且存在相当程度的脆弱性和高风险因素;(2)我国对外直接投资中的海外利益部分尚为弱小,且在目标产业分布上过于集中;(3)我国对外直接投资的损失率极高,外部因素明显。

Since 2000,China＇s outward foreign direct investment（FDI） has experienced a rapid development,which has already become an important part of its overseas interests.This trend has been even more obvious after global financial crisis in 2008.This paper provided an overview of China＇s outward FDI during 2008 and 2009,and briefly analyzed overseas interests in it through the text interpretation of reports on Outward FDI and Cooperation country（region） Guide（2009 Edition） issued by Ministry of Commerce.The preliminary conclusions included：（1） China＇s outward FDI developed rapidly,however until now it contributed a little to the national interests and contains high risk;（2） the overseas interests in China＇ outward FDI occupied a small part while its industrial distribution concentration was quite obvious;（3） China＇s outward FDI suffered the high loss rate of which a large part related to foreign factors.