广西“十二五”工业化阶段性定位研究

Guangxi "the twelfth five year" plan industrialization phrase position research

本文作者依据人均GDP、城市化率、产业结构、就业结构等衡量工业化的主要指标,以广西2000~2009年来的相关数据构建计量预测模型,预测出广西在＂十二五＂期间的相关指标值,并依据相关理论判断广西＂十二五＂期间仍将处于为工业化初期向中期的转变阶段,到2015年进入工业化中期的早期阶段。

Using data from 2000 to 2009 in Guangxi,the author made prediction of GDP per capita,rate of urbanlization,industrial structure and employment structure in 12th Five year plan by way of econometrics model.And then,the author of this paper regards that during the 12th Five year plan,Guangxi will be in trasition from early industrialization peiod to medium industrialization period.And in 2015,Guangxi will be in pre-stage of medium industrialization period.