中国加工贸易增值率影响因素的实证分析

An Empirical Study on Influencing Factors of Processing Trade Appreciation Rate in China

基于新贸易和新增长理论构建模型,采用2000—2009年省际面板数据,并运用动态面板系统GMM方法对中国加工贸易增值率的影响因素进行实证分析。结果发现,加工贸易规模对加工贸易增值率的影响为负,第三产业发展滞后已成为制约中国加工贸易增值率提升的重要影响因素。另外,东部和中西部地区处于不同发展阶段,要素禀赋的相对稀缺程度不同,劳动力成本、资本深化、外商直接投资、研发能力和人力资本等因素对东部和中西部地区加工贸易增值率的影响存在差异。

Based on new trade and new growth theory,with 2000—2009 provincial panel data and dynamic panel system GMM,the paper builds a model to empirically analyze influencing factors of China′s processing trade appreciation rate.Conclusion shows that processing trade scale has negative effect on processing trade appreciation rate,the third industry may be an important factor to restrict processing trade appreciation rate grow.In addition,the eastern region and the mid-western region are in different developing stage,labor cost,capital deepening,foreign direct invest,RD ability and human capital have different effects on processing trade appreciation rate between the eastern region and the mid-western region.